Football · Scotland League Cup · 14/07, 20:45
Prediction: Elgin vs Peterhead
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Elgin1.31
Peterhead1.75
1X2
Elgin
Draw
Peterhead
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Elgin
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Peterhead
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elgin 1499 · Peterhead 1507
| Elgin | Draw | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 25% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Elgin | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 13/25/63% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.6 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0 |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group H
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raith | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Peterhead | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Elgin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elgin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Johnstone Burgh Club Friendly List |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Nairn County UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Peterhead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Forfar Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | Dundee B UK Friendlies |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Banks O'Dee Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 14/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elgin vs Peterhead?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Peterhead win (47%). Probabilities: Elgin 28%, draw 25%, Peterhead 47%.
How many goals are expected in Elgin vs Peterhead?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Elgin 1.31 · Peterhead 1.75), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Elgin vs Peterhead?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.