Football · Scotland League Cup · 21/07, 20:45

Prediction: Raith vs Peterhead

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Raith2.4
Peterhead0.77
1X2
73% 18% 9%
Raith Draw Peterhead
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Raith 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWLLWDWWDD
Peterhead 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLLWWWLW
Head-to-head
Raith 5–1 Peterhead (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raith 1545 · Peterhead 1511
RaithDrawPeterhead
Our model73%18%9%
Market73%17%10%
Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Raith: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RaithPeterhead
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.21.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%13/25/63%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.12.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Raith 501 Peterhead

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
13/07/22
Scotland League Cup
Raith6-0
HT 2-0
Peterhead
04/01/20
Scotland League One
Raith2-1
HT 2-1
Peterhead
23/11/19
Scotland FA Cup
Raith1-0
HT 1-0
Peterhead
02/11/19
Scotland League One
Peterhead2-0
HT 1-0
Raith
14/09/19
Scotland League One
Raith4-0
HT 2-0
Peterhead
23/07/19
Scotland League Cup
Raith3-1
HT 2-0
Peterhead

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group H

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kilmarnock 2110 525
2 Hamilton 2110 755
3 Raith 3120 10115
4 Peterhead 2101 323
5 Elgin 3003 270

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRaithPeterhead
Hamilton 1-1 D 0-1 L
Elgin 3-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Raith (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raith

WWLLWDWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Hamilton
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-1 23 D
14/07 Kilmarnock
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-0 63 D
11/07 Elgin
Scotland League Cup
2-0 3-1 52 W
30/06 FC Edinburgh
UK Friendlies
1-0 4-0 90 W
27/06 Hamilton
UK Friendlies
0-2 2-2 50 D
01/05 Ross County
Scotland Championship
0-1 3-2 52 W
24/04 St Johnstone
Scotland Championship
0-2 0-2 06 L
18/04 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-2 25 L
14/04 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-0 86 W
11/04 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-1 3-2 92 W

Peterhead

LLDLLWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Elgin
Scotland League Cup
0-1 3-1 41 W
11/07 Hamilton
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-1 32 L
07/07 Forfar
Club Friendly List
1-0 3-0 W
02/07 Dundee B
UK Friendlies
3-1 W
27/06 Banks O'Dee
Club Friendly List
3-0 W
02/05 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 132 L
25/04 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 1-3 43 L
18/04 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 77 D
14/04 Inverness CT
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 25 L
11/04 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raith vs Peterhead?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Raith win (73%). Probabilities: Raith 73%, draw 18%, Peterhead 9%.

How many goals are expected in Raith vs Peterhead?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Raith 2.4 · Peterhead 0.77), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Raith vs Peterhead?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.