Prediction: Peterhead vs Kilmarnock
| Peterhead | Draw | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 19% | 72% |
| Market | 10% | 17% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kilmarnock (rating 1500 vs 1603).
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peterhead | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/25/63% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.6 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group H
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Raith | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
| 3 | Hamilton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 4 | Peterhead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Elgin | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Peterhead | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Raith | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Elgin | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Hamilton | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Kilmarnock (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peterhead
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Forfar Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | Dundee B UK Friendlies |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Banks O'Dee Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 14/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Kilmarnock
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Linfield UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/07 | Glentoran UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peterhead vs Kilmarnock?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kilmarnock win (73%). Probabilities: Peterhead 10%, draw 18%, Kilmarnock 73%.
How many goals are expected in Peterhead vs Kilmarnock?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Peterhead 0.65 · Kilmarnock 2.19), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Peterhead vs Kilmarnock?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.