Football · Scotland League Cup · 11/07, 16:00

Prediction: Queen's Park vs Brora Rangers FC

Expected goals: 2.88 (Queen's Park 2.16 · Brora Rangers FC 0.72). The model gives 71% home, 17% draw, 12% away. Under 3.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 2-0.

On recent form, Queen's Park is 3-4-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Brora Rangers FC 2-1-7 over its own.

71%1
71% 17% 12%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queen's Park 1517 · Brora Rangers FC 1446
Queen's ParkDrawBrora Rangers FC
Our model70%20%10%
Market72%15%13%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.88Queen's Park 2.16 · Brora Rangers FC 0.72
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 54%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queen's Park (rating 1517 vs 1446).
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Queen's ParkBrora Rangers FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.80.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.40.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 4.73.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.24.2 / 0.1

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Aberdeen 000 000
1 Brora Rangers FC 000 000
1 Kelty Hearts 000 000
1 Queen of South 000 000
1 Queen's Park 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queen's Park

LDWLDLDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 Clyde
UK Friendlies
2-0 3-1 63 W
27/06 Annan Athletic
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 40 D
26/06 Gretna 2008
UK Friendlies
5-0 5-0 150 W
01/05 Partick
Scotland Championship
0-1 1-1 71 D
25/04 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 14 L
18/04 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-0 0-0 42 D
14/04 Raith
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-2 06 L
10/04 Ross County
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-0 46 W
28/03 St Johnstone
Scotland Championship
1-0 1-1 24 D
21/03 Arbroath
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 44 L

Brora Rangers FC

LLLWLLWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/05 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two Play-Offs
0-2 0-2 45 L
09/05 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 54 D
21/02 Brechin
Scotland Highland League
0-1 0-1 98 L
08/11 Forres Mechanics
Scotland Regional Cup
1-1 2-1 93 W
27/09 Fraserburgh
Scotland FA Cup
0-1 0-1 L
20/09 Banks O'Dee
Scotland Highland League
1-2 1-3 76 L
06/08 Nairn County
Scotland Regional Cup
2-1 5-1 114 W
22/07 East Fife
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-3 42 L
19/07 Livingston
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-2 13 L
15/07 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Cup
0-3 0-4 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queen's Park vs Brora Rangers FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Queen's Park win (71%). Probabilities: Queen's Park 71%, draw 17%, Brora Rangers FC 12%.

How many goals are expected in Queen's Park vs Brora Rangers FC?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Queen's Park 2.16 · Brora Rangers FC 0.72), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Queen's Park vs Brora Rangers FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.