Football · Scotland League Cup · 14/07, 20:45
Prediction: Brora Rangers FC vs Aberdeen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Brora Rangers FC0.76
Aberdeen2.76
1X2
Brora Rangers FC
Draw
Aberdeen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Brora Rangers FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Aberdeen
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brora Rangers FC 1452 · Aberdeen 1492
| Brora Rangers FC | Draw | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 4% | 6% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aberdeen (rating 1452 vs 1492).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brora Rangers FC | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.1 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.2 |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queen's Park | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | Queen of South | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Brora Rangers FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brora Rangers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Queen's Park Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two Play-Offs |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/02 | Brechin Scotland Highland League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 08/11 | Forres Mechanics Scotland Regional Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Fraserburgh Scotland FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Banks O'Dee Scotland Highland League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/08 | Nairn County Scotland Regional Cup |
2-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | East Fife Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Livingston Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Aberdeen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Linfield UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Twente Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brora Rangers FC vs Aberdeen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aberdeen win (84%). Probabilities: Brora Rangers FC 6%, draw 10%, Aberdeen 84%.
How many goals are expected in Brora Rangers FC vs Aberdeen?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Brora Rangers FC 0.76 · Aberdeen 2.76), with a 57% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Brora Rangers FC vs Aberdeen?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.