Prediction: Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 85% | 10% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aberdeen (rating 1548 vs 1458).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aberdeen | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.2 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Queen's Park | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 4 | Queen of South | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 5 | Brora Rangers FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aberdeen | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Queen of South | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Queen's Park | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Brora Rangers FC | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Aberdeen (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aberdeen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Queen of South Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Queen's Park Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Linfield UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Twente Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Kelty Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Queen's Park Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Queen of South Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Dunfermline UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | East Kilbride UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Gala Fairydean Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aberdeen win (82%). Probabilities: Aberdeen 82%, draw 12%, Kelty Hearts 6%.
How many goals are expected in Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?
The model expects 3.53 goals (Aberdeen 2.76 · Kelty Hearts 0.76), with a 57% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.