Prediction: Spartans vs Arbroath
Expected goals: 2.98 (Spartans 1.15 · Arbroath 1.83). The model gives 23% home, 24% draw, 53% away. Under 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Spartans with 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Arbroath has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Spartans and 0 for Arbroath.
| Spartans | Draw | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | 24% | 23% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartans | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.5 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartans 1–0–0 Arbroath
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/23 Scotland FA Cup | Spartans | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Arbroath |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dundee Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stirling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartans
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | East Kilbride Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/03 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Arbroath
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Brechin Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | St Mirren UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Dunfermline Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Dunfermline Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 28/03 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartans vs Arbroath?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arbroath win (53%). Probabilities: Spartans 23%, draw 24%, Arbroath 53%.
How many goals are expected in Spartans vs Arbroath?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Spartans 1.15 · Arbroath 1.83), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartans vs Arbroath?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.