Football · Scotland League Cup · 14/07, 20:45

Prediction: Spartans vs Stirling

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Spartans1.57
Stirling1.44
1X2
40% 26% 34%
Spartans Draw Stirling
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spartans 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLWDDLDL
Stirling 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLDDDLL
Head-to-head
Spartans 2–3–1 Stirling (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spartans 1487 · Stirling 1436
SpartansDrawStirling
Our model40%26%34%
Market40%26%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (rating 1487 vs 1436).
  • H2H favours Spartans: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SpartansStirling
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.21 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.41.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.22.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartans 231 Stirling

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Scotland League Two
Stirling2-2
HT 0-0
Spartans
03/03/26
Scotland League Two
Spartans2-0
HT 1-0
Stirling
13/12/25
Scotland League Two
Stirling1-1
HT 0-0
Spartans
20/09/25
Scotland League Two
Spartans1-3
HT 0-2
Stirling
08/03/25
Scotland League Two
Spartans0-0
HT 0-0
Stirling
04/02/25
Scotland League Two
Stirling1-3
HT 0-2
Spartans

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Arbroath 110 213
2 Dundee Utd 110 103
3 Montrose 000 000
4 Spartans 101 120
5 Stirling 101 010

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSpartansStirling
Clyde 1-1 D 1-3 L
Elgin 1-1 D 2-2 D
Stranraer 1-2 L 1-1 D
FC Edinburgh 3-0 W 1-0 W
East Kilbride 1-1 D 2-3 L
Forfar 1-1 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 4 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Spartans (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spartans

DDWLWDDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-2 44 L
09/05 Clyde
Scotland League One Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 52 D
05/05 Clyde
Scotland League One Play-Offs
0-1 0-2 56 L
02/05 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 92 D
25/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 44 D
18/04 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 83 W
11/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-2 65 L
04/04 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 3-0 114 W
28/03 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 64 D
21/03 Forfar
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 63 D

Stirling

LLWLLDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 11 L
04/07 Tranent
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-2 21 L
02/05 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 32 D
25/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-1 33 D
18/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-2 2-2 42 D
11/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-2 65 L
04/04 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-2 1-3 52 L
28/03 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 74 W
21/03 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
0-2 2-3 17 L
14/03 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-3 0-3 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spartans vs Stirling?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartans win (40%). Probabilities: Spartans 40%, draw 26%, Stirling 34%.

How many goals are expected in Spartans vs Stirling?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Spartans 1.57 · Stirling 1.44), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Spartans vs Stirling?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.