Football · Scotland League Cup · 21/07, 20:45

Prediction: Dundee Utd vs Spartans

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Dundee Utd2.6
Spartans0.6
1X2
83% 13% 5%
Dundee Utd Draw Spartans
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Dundee Utd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLLDDWLW
Spartans 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWDDLDLL
Head-to-head
Dundee Utd 1–1 Spartans (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dundee Utd 1511 · Spartans 1461
Dundee UtdDrawSpartans
Our model80%15%6%
Market86%11%4%
Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dundee Utd (rating 1511 vs 1461).
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dundee UtdSpartans
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.31.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.63.4 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.13.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundee Utd 101 Spartans

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/02/26
Scotland FA Cup
Dundee Utd2-1
HT 1-0
Spartans
15/07/23
Scotland League Cup
Spartans1-0
HT 1-0
Dundee Utd

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Dundee Utd 321 416
2 Montrose 220 306
3 Stirling 312 343
4 Arbroath 211 243
5 Spartans 202 250

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDundee UtdSpartans
Arbroath 3-0 W 1-2 L
Stirling 1-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dundee Utd (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dundee Utd

LWWLLDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
1-0 3-0 64 W
14/07 Montrose
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-1 123 L
11/07 Stirling
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-0 121 W
17/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership
1-0 1-1 22 D
12/05 Livingston
Scotland Premiership
0-0 0-0 76 D
09/05 Aberdeen
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-2 26 L
02/05 Kilmarnock
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-3 81 L
26/04 Dundee
Scotland Premiership
1-0 3-0 21 W
11/04 Livingston
Scotland Premiership
1-0 3-2 40 W
04/04 Rangers
Scotland Premiership
1-2 2-4 13 L

Spartans

DWLWDDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Stirling
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-3 31 L
11/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-2 44 L
09/05 Clyde
Scotland League One Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 52 D
05/05 Clyde
Scotland League One Play-Offs
0-1 0-2 56 L
02/05 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 92 D
25/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 44 D
18/04 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 83 W
11/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-2 65 L
04/04 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 3-0 114 W
28/03 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 64 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dundee Utd vs Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dundee Utd win (83%). Probabilities: Dundee Utd 83%, draw 13%, Spartans 5%.

How many goals are expected in Dundee Utd vs Spartans?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Dundee Utd 2.6 · Spartans 0.6), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dundee Utd vs Spartans?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.