Football · Scotland League Cup · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: Montrose vs Spartans

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Montrose2.44
Spartans0.72
1X2
74% 18% 8%
Montrose Draw Spartans
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Montrose 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDLDDLWWWW
Spartans 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLWDDLDLLL
Head-to-head
Montrose 2–1–0 Spartans (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montrose 1540 · Spartans 1441
MontroseDrawSpartans
Our model74%17%8%
Market74%19%7%
Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montrose (rating 1540 vs 1441).
  • H2H favours Montrose: 2-1-0.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MontroseSpartans
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.11.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 5.43.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.13.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose 210 Spartans

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/12/25
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Montrose2-1
HT 1-0
Spartans
11/10/25
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Montrose3-1
HT 2-1
Spartans
06/07/24
UK Friendlies
Spartans2-2
HT 0-2
Montrose

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Dundee Utd 431 819
2 Montrose 330 509
3 Stirling 312 343
4 Arbroath 312 263
5 Spartans 303 290

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMontroseSpartans
Arbroath 2-0 W 1-2 L
Stirling 2-0 W 1-3 L
Dundee Utd 1-0 W 0-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Montrose (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montrose

LDLDDLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 44 W
18/07 Stirling
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 82 W
14/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland League Cup
1-0 1-0 63 W
08/07 Inverurie Loco Works
Club Friendly List
1-0 7-0 W
04/07 St Johnstone
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-3 L
01/07 Civil Service Strollers
UK Friendlies
0-1 1-1 62 D
27/06 Forfar
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-1 50 D
02/05 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 73 L
25/04 Queen of South
Scotland League One
1-0 2-2 24 D
18/04 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 51 L

Spartans

WLWDDLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-4 23 L
14/07 Stirling
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-3 31 L
11/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-2 44 L
09/05 Clyde
Scotland League One Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 52 D
05/05 Clyde
Scotland League One Play-Offs
0-1 0-2 56 L
02/05 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 92 D
25/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 44 D
18/04 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 83 W
11/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-2 65 L
04/04 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 3-0 114 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montrose vs Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Montrose win (74%). Probabilities: Montrose 74%, draw 18%, Spartans 8%.

How many goals are expected in Montrose vs Spartans?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Montrose 2.44 · Spartans 0.72), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Montrose vs Spartans?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.