Prediction: Dundee vs Airdrieonians
Expected goals: 3.12 (Dundee 2.09 · Airdrieonians 1.04). The model gives 61% home, 22% draw, 17% away. Under 3.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Dundee is 4-1-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Airdrieonians 1-4-5 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Dundee won 2 and Airdrieonians 2, with 1 draw.
| Dundee | Draw | Airdrieonians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dundee | Airdrieonians | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundee 2–1–2 Airdrieonians
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/25 Scotland League Cup | Dundee | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Airdrieonians |
| 08/02/25 Scotland FA Cup | Dundee | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Airdrieonians |
| 17/08/24 Scotland League Cup | Dundee | 6-1 HT 2-0 | Airdrieonians |
| 22/07/23 Scotland League Cup | Airdrieonians | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dundee |
| 26/11/22 Scotland FA Cup | Dundee | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Airdrieonians |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Airdrieonians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Annan Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Clyde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dundee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ross County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dundee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Maccabi Haifa Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Paksi Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Livingston UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 12/05 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Airdrieonians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Falkirk UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Ayr UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Elgin UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Partick Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 14/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dundee vs Airdrieonians?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dundee win (61%). Probabilities: Dundee 61%, draw 22%, Airdrieonians 17%.
How many goals are expected in Dundee vs Airdrieonians?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Dundee 2.09 · Airdrieonians 1.04), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dundee vs Airdrieonians?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.