Football · Scotland League Cup · 14/07, 20:45
Prediction: Annan Athletic vs Dundee
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Annan Athletic0.72
Dundee2.72
1X2
Annan Athletic
Draw
Dundee
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Annan Athletic
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Dundee
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Annan Athletic
0–1
Dundee
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Annan Athletic 1497 · Dundee 1509
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 7% | 11% | 81% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Annan Athletic | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4 | 3.9 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Annan Athletic 0–0–1 Dundee
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/24 Scotland League Cup | Dundee | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Annan Athletic |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Dundee | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Clyde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 5 | Annan Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Annan Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Ross County Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/06 | Gretna 2008 UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Queen's Park UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 23/06 | Johnstone Burgh UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/04 | East Kilbride Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Dundee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Airdrieonians Scotland League Cup |
1-2 | 4-2 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Brechin Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Maccabi Haifa Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | Paksi Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Livingston UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 12/05 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Annan Athletic vs Dundee?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dundee win (80%). Probabilities: Annan Athletic 7%, draw 13%, Dundee 80%.
How many goals are expected in Annan Athletic vs Dundee?
The model expects 3.44 goals (Annan Athletic 0.72 · Dundee 2.72), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Annan Athletic vs Dundee?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.