Football · Scotland League Cup · 14/07, 20:45
Prediction: Forfar vs Partick
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Forfar0.65
Partick2.07
1X2
Forfar
Draw
Partick
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Forfar
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Partick
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Forfar
0–1–2
Partick
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Forfar 1458 · Partick 1538
| Forfar | Draw | Partick | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 21% | 70% |
| Market | 10% | 20% | 70% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partick (rating 1458 vs 1538).
- H2H favours Partick: 2-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Forfar | Partick | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/56/33% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 3.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Forfar 0–1–2 Partick
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Scotland FA Cup | Forfar | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Partick |
| 30/03/21 Scotland League One | Partick | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Forfar |
| 12/12/20 Scotland League One | Forfar | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Partick |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group E
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Livingston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Forfar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5 | Brechin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Forfar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Peterhead Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Banks O'Dee Club Friendly List |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/06 | St Johnstone UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Montrose UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Hamilton Scotland League One Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Hamilton Scotland League One Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
Partick
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Brechin Scotland League Cup |
3-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Pollok Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | Dunfermline Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Dunfermline Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Forfar vs Partick?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Partick win (70%). Probabilities: Forfar 10%, draw 20%, Partick 70%.
How many goals are expected in Forfar vs Partick?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Forfar 0.65 · Partick 2.07), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Forfar vs Partick?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.