Football · Scotland League Cup · 21/07, 20:45

Prediction: East Fife vs Linlithgow Rose

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
East Fife1.93
Linlithgow Rose1.1
1X2
56% 23% 21%
East Fife Draw Linlithgow Rose
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
East Fife 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DDDLWLDDDW
Linlithgow Rose 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · East Fife 1505 · Linlithgow Rose 1550
East FifeDrawLinlithgow Rose
Our model56%24%20%
Market57%22%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linlithgow Rose (rating 1505 vs 1550).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

East FifeLinlithgow Rose
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.12.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.41.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.52 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 03.7 / 0.1

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group F

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 St Johnstone 2200 506
2 Inverness CT 2110 845
3 East Fife 2110 664
4 Linlithgow Rose 3102 143
5 Morton 3003 060

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEast FifeLinlithgow Rose
Morton 2-0 W 1-0 W
Inverness CT 1-1 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: East Fife (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

East Fife

DDDLWLDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Morton
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 14 W
11/07 Inverness CT
Scotland League Cup
1-0 1-1 26 D
02/05 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 20 D
25/04 Inverness CT
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 32 D
18/04 Alloa
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 35 L
11/04 Peterhead
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 45 W
04/04 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-0 0-1 44 L
28/03 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League One
0-1 2-2 40 D
21/03 Queen of South
Scotland League One
1-2 2-2 43 D
14/03 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League One
1-0 1-1 81 D

Linlithgow Rose

WWWDWWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Inverness CT
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 00 L
14/07 St Johnstone
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 13 L
11/07 Morton
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-0 75 W
20/06 Dumbarton
Club Friendly List
2-1 4-3 W
11/04 Clydebank FC
Scotland Lowland League
2-0 4-1 56 W
07/04 Celtic B
Scotland Lowland League
2-1 3-1 73 W
01/04 Civil Service Strollers
Scotland Lowland League
1-2 3-3 124 D
28/03 East Stirlingshire
Scotland Lowland League
1-1 4-3 87 W
17/03 Broxburn Athletic
Scotland Lowland League
3-1 6-1 14 W
14/03 Gretna 2008
Scotland Lowland League
1-0 2-0 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in East Fife vs Linlithgow Rose?

According to our model, the most likely result is a East Fife win (56%). Probabilities: East Fife 56%, draw 23%, Linlithgow Rose 21%.

How many goals are expected in East Fife vs Linlithgow Rose?

The model expects 3.03 goals (East Fife 1.93 · Linlithgow Rose 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in East Fife vs Linlithgow Rose?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.