Prediction: St Johnstone vs East Fife
| St Johnstone | Draw | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 78% | 13% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Johnstone (rating 1612 vs 1517).
- H2H favours St Johnstone: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Johnstone | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.3 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.8 / 8 | 2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Johnstone 3–1–0 East Fife
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/24 Scotland League Cup | St Johnstone | 5-1 HT 3-0 | East Fife |
| 11/07/23 Club Friendly List | East Fife | 0-3 HT 0-0 | St Johnstone |
| 14/07/18 Scotland League Cup | St Johnstone | 0-0 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
| 09/07/14 Club Friendly List | East Fife | 0-4 HT 0-3 | St Johnstone |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group F
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness CT | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | East Fife | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | St Johnstone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Linlithgow Rose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 5 | Morton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Johnstone | East Fife |
|---|---|---|
| Inverness CT | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Morton | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Linlithgow Rose | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Cove Rangers | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Montrose | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: St Johnstone (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Johnstone
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Inverness CT Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Morton Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Cove Rangers UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-2 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Montrose Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Forfar UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 21/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
East Fife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Morton Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Inverness CT Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 21/03 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Johnstone vs East Fife?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Johnstone win (78%). Probabilities: St Johnstone 78%, draw 15%, East Fife 8%.
How many goals are expected in St Johnstone vs East Fife?
The model expects 3.14 goals (St Johnstone 2.49 · East Fife 0.65), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in St Johnstone vs East Fife?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.