Prediction: FC Edinburgh vs Falkirk
Expected goals: 3.74 (FC Edinburgh 0.91 · Falkirk 2.83). The model gives 9% home, 14% draw, 77% away. Under 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-2.
On recent form, FC Edinburgh is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Falkirk 3-1-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FC Edinburgh won 2 and Falkirk 3, with 1 draw.
| FC Edinburgh | Draw | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| Market | 9% | 14% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Falkirk: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Edinburgh | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Edinburgh 2–1–3 Falkirk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/25 UK Friendlies | Falkirk | 2-3 HT 0-3 | FC Edinburgh |
| 23/03/24 Scotland League One | Falkirk | 4-1 HT 2-0 | FC Edinburgh |
| 13/01/24 Scotland League One | FC Edinburgh | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 11/11/23 Scotland League One | Falkirk | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Edinburgh |
| 02/09/23 Scotland League One | FC Edinburgh | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Falkirk |
| 18/04/23 Scotland League One | Falkirk | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Edinburgh |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group G
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alloa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ayr | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Edinburgh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Falkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stranraer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Edinburgh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Raith UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Gala Fairydean Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Two Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Two Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | East Kilbride Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Falkirk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Dunfermline Scotland FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 11 | D |
| 12/04 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Edinburgh vs Falkirk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Falkirk win (77%). Probabilities: FC Edinburgh 9%, draw 14%, Falkirk 77%.
How many goals are expected in FC Edinburgh vs Falkirk?
The model expects 3.74 goals (FC Edinburgh 0.91 · Falkirk 2.83), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Edinburgh vs Falkirk?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.