Prediction: Falkirk vs Ayr
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Falkirk | Ayr | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.3 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Falkirk 2–2–2 Ayr
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/25 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Falkirk |
| 15/02/25 Scotland Championship | Falkirk | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Ayr |
| 14/12/24 Scotland Championship | Ayr | 5-2 HT 3-2 | Falkirk |
| 05/10/24 Scotland Championship | Falkirk | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ayr |
| 16/07/24 Scotland League Cup | Ayr | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Falkirk |
| 05/09/23 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Ayr | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Falkirk |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group G
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ayr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Alloa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Stranraer | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Edinburgh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Falkirk | Ayr |
|---|---|---|
| Airdrieonians | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Dunfermline | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Falkirk (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Falkirk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Cup |
4-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/07 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Dunfermline Scotland FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 11 | D |
| 12/04 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
Ayr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Stranraer Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Dumbarton UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Glenafton Athletic FC Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 07/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Falkirk vs Ayr?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Falkirk win (60%). Probabilities: Falkirk 60%, draw 22%, Ayr 18%.
How many goals are expected in Falkirk vs Ayr?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Falkirk 2.13 · Ayr 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Ayr?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.