Prediction: Ayr vs FC Edinburgh
| Ayr | Draw | FC Edinburgh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| Market | 74% | 15% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ayr (rating 1522 vs 1465).
- H2H favours Ayr: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ayr | FC Edinburgh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 0.8 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayr 2–0–0 FC Edinburgh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/21 Scotland League Cup | Ayr | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Edinburgh |
| 23/07/16 Scotland League Cup | Ayr | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Edinburgh |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group G
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Edinburgh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Stranraer | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | Alloa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ayr | FC Edinburgh |
|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Dumbarton | 3-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Falkirk Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Stranraer Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Dumbarton UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Glenafton Athletic FC Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | St Johnstone Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 07/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
FC Edinburgh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alloa Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Falkirk Scotland League Cup |
0-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/06 | Raith UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Gala Fairydean Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Two Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Two Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | East Kilbride Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayr vs FC Edinburgh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ayr win (73%). Probabilities: Ayr 73%, draw 17%, FC Edinburgh 10%.
How many goals are expected in Ayr vs FC Edinburgh?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Ayr 2.33 · FC Edinburgh 0.72), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ayr vs FC Edinburgh?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.