Prediction: Alloa vs Falkirk
| Alloa | Draw | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 18% | 73% |
| Market | 10% | 16% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Falkirk: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alloa | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 2.9 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alloa 0–2–4 Falkirk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/24 Club Friendly List | Falkirk | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Alloa |
| 04/05/24 Scotland League One | Falkirk | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Alloa |
| 27/01/24 Scotland League One | Alloa | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Falkirk |
| 28/10/23 Scotland League One | Falkirk | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Alloa |
| 26/08/23 Scotland League One | Alloa | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Falkirk |
| 22/04/23 Scotland League One | Alloa | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Falkirk |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group G
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Edinburgh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 4 | Alloa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alloa | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| FC Edinburgh | 0-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Airdrieonians | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Falkirk (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alloa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Stranraer Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/07 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/06 | Livingston UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 13/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Falkirk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Genk Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Ayr Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Cup |
4-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/07 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Dunfermline Scotland FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alloa vs Falkirk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Falkirk win (74%). Probabilities: Alloa 9%, draw 17%, Falkirk 74%.
How many goals are expected in Alloa vs Falkirk?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Alloa 0.69 · Falkirk 2.32), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Alloa vs Falkirk?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.