Football · Scotland League Cup · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: Falkirk vs Stranraer

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Falkirk2.46
Stranraer0.61
1X2
78% 15% 7%
Falkirk Draw Stranraer
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Falkirk 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWWLWD
Stranraer 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLDWDWDLDL
Head-to-head
Falkirk 3–1–1 Stranraer (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Falkirk 1489 · Stranraer 1487
FalkirkDrawStranraer
Our model77%16%7%
Market78%14%8%
Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Falkirk: 3-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FalkirkStranraer
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.71.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.20.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/10/60%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.32.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 03.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Falkirk 311 Stranraer

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/20
Scotland League One
Stranraer1-1
HT 0-1
Falkirk
30/11/19
Scotland League One
Falkirk3-0
HT 2-0
Stranraer
21/09/19
Scotland League One
Stranraer0-3
HT 0-1
Falkirk
16/07/19
Scotland League Cup
Falkirk1-0
HT 1-0
Stranraer
06/09/14
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Stranraer1-0
HT 1-0
Falkirk

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group G

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ayr 3300 629
2 FC Edinburgh 4202 476
3 Falkirk 3111 864
4 Alloa 3021 11104
5 Stranraer 3012 7111

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFalkirkStranraer
Alloa 1-1 D 2-2 D
Ayr 0-1 L 2-3 L
FC Edinburgh 5-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Falkirk (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Falkirk

LWLLLWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Alloa
Scotland League Cup
1-0 1-1 52 D
18/07 Genk
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 30 W
14/07 Ayr
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-1 52 L
11/07 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Cup
4-0 5-0 23 W
07/07 Airdrieonians
UK Friendlies
0-1 2-1 120 W
16/05 Rangers
Scotland Premiership
2-3 2-5 73 L
13/05 Hearts
Scotland Premiership
0-2 0-3 54 L
09/05 Hibernian
Scotland Premiership
0-3 1-3 61 L
02/05 Motherwell
Scotland Premiership
0-0 1-0 29 W
25/04 Celtic
Scotland Premiership
0-2 1-3 65 L

Stranraer

WLDWDWDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 34 L
18/07 Alloa
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-2 32 D
11/07 Ayr
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-3 06 L
04/07 Morton
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 81 D
27/06 Dundela
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-0 W
20/06 Larne FC
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 100 D
02/05 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 73 W
25/04 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-1 133 D
18/04 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 57 L
11/04 Spartans
Scotland League Two
1-1 2-1 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Falkirk vs Stranraer?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Falkirk win (78%). Probabilities: Falkirk 78%, draw 15%, Stranraer 7%.

How many goals are expected in Falkirk vs Stranraer?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Falkirk 2.46 · Stranraer 0.61), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Stranraer?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.