Football · Scotland League Cup · 18/07, 16:00
Prediction: Brechin vs Stenhousemuir
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Brechin0.64
Stenhousemuir2.19
1X2
Brechin
Draw
Stenhousemuir
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Brechin
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Stenhousemuir
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brechin
0–2–4
Stenhousemuir
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brechin 1507 · Stenhousemuir 1535
| Brechin | Draw | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 19% | 72% |
| Market | 10% | 17% | 73% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Stenhousemuir: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brechin | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.1 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brechin 0–2–4 Stenhousemuir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/21 Scotland League Two | Brechin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 06/04/21 Scotland League Two | Brechin | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Stenhousemuir |
| 05/12/20 Scotland League Two | Stenhousemuir | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Brechin |
| 11/01/20 Scotland League Two | Stenhousemuir | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Brechin |
| 30/11/19 Scotland League Two | Brechin | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Stenhousemuir |
| 21/09/19 Scotland League Two | Stenhousemuir | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Brechin |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group E
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Livingston | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Forfar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 5 | Brechin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brechin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Livingston Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Partick Scotland League Cup |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Dundee Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Arbroath Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | St Andrews Utd Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Nairn County Scotland Highland League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/03 | Formartine United Scotland Highland League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 14/03 | Inverurie Loco Works Scotland Highland League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 11/03 | Clachnacuddin Scotland Highland League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 04/03 | Deveronvale Scotland Highland League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Stenhousemuir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Forfar Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 11 | L |
| 13/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Queen of South Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Queen of South Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brechin vs Stenhousemuir?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stenhousemuir win (73%). Probabilities: Brechin 9%, draw 18%, Stenhousemuir 73%.
How many goals are expected in Brechin vs Stenhousemuir?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Brechin 0.64 · Stenhousemuir 2.19), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Brechin vs Stenhousemuir?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.