Football · Scotland League Cup · 14/07, 20:45
Prediction: Montrose vs Dundee Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Montrose0.92
Dundee Utd2.17
1X2
Montrose
Draw
Dundee Utd
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Montrose
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Dundee Utd
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montrose
0–2
Dundee Utd
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Montrose 1460 · Dundee Utd 1510
| Montrose | Draw | Dundee Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 21% | 65% |
| Market | 15% | 19% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dundee Utd (rating 1460 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Dundee Utd: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montrose | Dundee Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose 0–0–2 Dundee Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/19 Scotland FA Cup | Montrose | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Dundee Utd |
| 04/07/17 Club Friendly List | Montrose | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Dundee Utd |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Dundee Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Spartans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5 | Stirling | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montrose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Inverurie Loco Works Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | St Johnstone Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Civil Service Strollers UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Forfar UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Dundee Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Stirling Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 04/04 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montrose vs Dundee Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dundee Utd win (66%). Probabilities: Montrose 15%, draw 20%, Dundee Utd 66%.
How many goals are expected in Montrose vs Dundee Utd?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Montrose 0.92 · Dundee Utd 2.17), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Montrose vs Dundee Utd?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.