Football · Scotland League Cup · 14/07, 20:45

Prediction: Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Cove Rangers1.29
East Kilbride1.75
1X2
28% 24% 48%
Cove Rangers Draw East Kilbride
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cove Rangers 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWDWWDLL
East Kilbride 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Cove Rangers 0–1 East Kilbride (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cove Rangers 1511 · East Kilbride 1567
Cove RangersDrawEast Kilbride
Our model27%26%47%
Market29%22%49%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Kilbride (rating 1511 vs 1567).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cove RangersEast Kilbride
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.52.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.71.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.82.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 04.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cove Rangers 001 East Kilbride

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/09/24
Scotland League Challenge Cup
East Kilbride3-2
HT 1-1
Cove Rangers

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group C

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 St Mirren 110 403
2 East Kilbride 110 303
3 Cove Rangers 000 000
4 Dunfermline 101 030
5 Dumbarton 101 040

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cove Rangers

WLWWDWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 St Johnstone
UK Friendlies
1-3 2-4 20 L
07/07 Inverness CT
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-4 30 L
04/07 Huntly
Club Friendly List
0-2 2-2 D
02/07 Turriff United
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 70 W
30/06 Inverurie Loco Works
Club Friendly List
1-1 4-1 W
02/05 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 20 D
25/04 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League One
2-0 2-0 25 W
18/04 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League One
1-0 2-0 46 W
11/04 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 52 L
07/04 Montrose
Scotland League One
1-0 3-2 52 W

East Kilbride

LWDWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Dunfermline
Scotland League Cup
1-0 3-0 43 W
27/06 Kelty Hearts
UK Friendlies
3-0 4-0 W
02/05 Clyde
Scotland League Two
3-0 5-0 54 W
25/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 24 W
18/04 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
1-0 4-0 125 W
11/04 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-1 35 L
04/04 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-1 56 W
28/03 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 44 D
21/03 Stirling
Scotland League Two
2-0 3-2 87 W
14/03 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride?

According to our model, the most likely result is an East Kilbride win (48%). Probabilities: Cove Rangers 28%, draw 24%, East Kilbride 48%.

How many goals are expected in Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Cove Rangers 1.29 · East Kilbride 1.75), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.