Football · Scotland League Cup · 11/07, 16:00

Prediction: Annan Athletic vs Ross County

Expected goals: 3.76 (Annan Athletic 1.03 · Ross County 2.73). The model gives 11% home, 17% draw, 72% away. Over 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-2.

Over its last 10 matches, Annan Athletic sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Ross County arrives on a 5-1-4 run.

72%2
11% 17% 72%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Annan Athletic 1510 · Ross County 1538
Annan AthleticDrawRoss County
Our model11%17%72%
Market11%18%72%
Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.76Annan Athletic 1.03 · Ross County 2.73
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 55%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Annan AthleticRoss County
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.32.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.51 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%56/11/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.22.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 03.1 / 0.1

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group D

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Airdrieonians 000 000
1 Annan Athletic 000 000
1 Clyde 000 000
1 Dundee 000 000
1 Ross County 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Annan Athletic

LWLWLLDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 Gretna 2008
UK Friendlies
1-1 4-2 72 W
27/06 Queen's Park
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 40 D
23/06 Johnstone Burgh
UK Friendlies
3-0 4-1 30 W
02/05 Forfar
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 52 D
25/04 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-2 1-3 42 L
18/04 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-2 33 L
11/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-0 3-0 26 W
04/04 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-2 56 L
28/03 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 66 W
21/03 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-2 32 L

Ross County

DLLLWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Inverness CT
UK Friendlies
1-0 4-0 13 W
30/06 Clachnacuddin
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 80 W
27/06 Forres Mechanics
Club Friendly List
5-1 W
01/05 Raith
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-3 72 L
25/04 Morton
Scotland Championship
2-0 4-0 63 W
18/04 Ayr
Scotland Championship
1-1 2-1 45 W
10/04 Queen's Park
Scotland Championship
0-1 0-1 16 L
04/04 Airdrieonians
Scotland Championship
0-3 0-4 73 L
27/03 Partick
Scotland Championship
1-3 1-3 21 L
21/03 Dunfermline
Scotland Championship
2-1 2-2 136 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Annan Athletic vs Ross County?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ross County win (72%). Probabilities: Annan Athletic 11%, draw 17%, Ross County 72%.

How many goals are expected in Annan Athletic vs Ross County?

The model expects 3.76 goals (Annan Athletic 1.03 · Ross County 2.73), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Annan Athletic vs Ross County?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.