Prediction: Inverness CT vs East Fife
Expected goals: 3.14 (Inverness CT 2.3 · East Fife 0.84). The model gives 70% home, 18% draw, 12% away. Over 3 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Inverness CT is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and East Fife 1-5-4 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Inverness CT and 0 for East Fife, with 1 draw.
| Inverness CT | Draw | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 19% | 11% |
| Market | 71% | 16% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inverness CT (rating 1555 vs 1443).
- H2H favours Inverness CT: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inverness CT | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inverness CT 4–1–0 East Fife
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Scotland League One | East Fife | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Inverness CT |
| 07/02/26 Scotland League One | Inverness CT | 3-0 HT 1-0 | East Fife |
| 20/01/26 Scotland League One | East Fife | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Inverness CT |
| 27/09/25 Scotland League One | Inverness CT | 4-1 HT 1-1 | East Fife |
| 14/11/20 Scotland League Cup | Inverness CT | 1-0 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group F
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Morton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inverness CT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Linlithgow Rose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Johnstone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inverness CT | East Fife |
|---|---|---|
| Cove Rangers | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Hamilton | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Kelty Hearts | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Peterhead | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Stenhousemuir | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Inverness CT (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inverness CT
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Cove Rangers UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Ross County UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Forres Mechanics Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Clachnacuddin UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/04 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/04 | Raith Scotland League Challenge Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
East Fife
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 21/03 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 07/03 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 28/02 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inverness CT vs East Fife?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inverness CT win (70%). Probabilities: Inverness CT 70%, draw 18%, East Fife 12%.
How many goals are expected in Inverness CT vs East Fife?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Inverness CT 2.3 · East Fife 0.84), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Inverness CT vs East Fife?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.