Prediction: East Kilbride vs Dunfermline
Expected goals: 2.96 (East Kilbride 1.17 · Dunfermline 1.79). The model gives 24% home, 25% draw, 51% away. Under 3.25 goals (56%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, East Kilbride is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Dunfermline 4-3-3 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, East Kilbride won 1 and Dunfermline 1.
| East Kilbride | Draw | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| East Kilbride | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · East Kilbride 1–0–1 Dunfermline
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/25 UK Friendlies | East Kilbride | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dunfermline |
| 27/07/19 Scotland League Cup | Dunfermline | 4-0 HT 3-0 | East Kilbride |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dumbarton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dunfermline | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | East Kilbride | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Mirren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | East Kilbride | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Clyde | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: East Kilbride (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
East Kilbride
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Kelty Hearts UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/03 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/03 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Dunfermline
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Kelty Hearts UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Clyde UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/06 | FC Botosani Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Celtic Scotland FA Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 08/05 | Arbroath Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Arbroath Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dunfermline win (51%). Probabilities: East Kilbride 24%, draw 25%, Dunfermline 51%.
How many goals are expected in East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?
The model expects 2.96 goals (East Kilbride 1.17 · Dunfermline 1.79), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.