Prediction: Peterhead vs Hamilton
Expected goals: 3.42 (Peterhead 1.66 · Hamilton 1.75). The model gives 36% home, 25% draw, 39% away. Over 2.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Peterhead with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Hamilton has piled up 7-2-1 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Peterhead won 0 and Hamilton 3, with 1 draw.
| Peterhead | Draw | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 24% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamilton (rating 1500 vs 1593).
- H2H favours Hamilton: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peterhead | Hamilton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 2.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/25/63% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.1 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterhead 0–1–3 Hamilton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Peterhead |
| 17/01/26 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Hamilton |
| 08/11/25 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Peterhead |
| 13/09/25 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Hamilton |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group H
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elgin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Raith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Peterhead | Hamilton |
|---|---|---|
| Forfar | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Inverness CT | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Alloa | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Montrose | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hamilton (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peterhead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Forfar Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | Dundee B UK Friendlies |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Banks O'Dee Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 14/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
Hamilton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Haverfordwest County UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Raith UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
2-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Forfar Scotland League One Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Forfar Scotland League One Play-Offs |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peterhead vs Hamilton?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hamilton win (39%). Probabilities: Peterhead 36%, draw 25%, Hamilton 39%.
How many goals are expected in Peterhead vs Hamilton?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Peterhead 1.66 · Hamilton 1.75), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Peterhead vs Hamilton?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.