Prediction: Mirassol vs Gremio
| Mirassol | Draw | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Mirassol: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mirassol | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mirassol 3–0–0 Gremio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Brazil Serie A | Gremio | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Mirassol |
| 17/04/25 Brazil Serie A | Mirassol | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Gremio |
| 02/03/22 Copa do Brasil | Mirassol | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Gremio |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Atletico Mineiro | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 22 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 29 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 20 |
| 18 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 9 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mirassol | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Corinthians | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Mirassol (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mirassol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Always Ready Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | Bragantino Copa do Brasil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | LDU Quito Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 30/04 | Always Ready Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Gremio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Chapecoense America Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Cascavel America Friendlies |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 27/05 | Torque Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Palestino Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 15/05 | AD Confianca Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Deportivo Riestra Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mirassol vs Gremio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mirassol win (41%). Probabilities: Mirassol 41%, draw 29%, Gremio 30%.
How many goals are expected in Mirassol vs Gremio?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Mirassol 1.32 · Gremio 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Gremio?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.