Football · Brazil Serie A · 27/07, 00:30
Prediction: Remo vs Vitoria
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Remo1.59
Vitoria1.25
1X2
Remo
Draw
Vitoria
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Remo
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Vitoria
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Remo
2–1–1
Vitoria
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Remo 1528 · Vitoria 1570
| Remo | Draw | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vitoria (rating 1528 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Remo: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Remo | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Remo 2–1–1 Vitoria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 Brazil Serie A | Vitoria | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Remo |
| 09/04/22 Brazil Serie C | Remo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Vitoria |
| 11/09/21 Brazil Serie B | Vitoria | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Remo |
| 16/06/21 Brazil Serie B | Remo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vitoria |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 32 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 30 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 30 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 29 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico Mineiro | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 24 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 19 |
| 19 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Remo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | EC Bahia Copa do Brasil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/04 | Galvez AC Brazil Copa Norte |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | EC Bahia Copa do Brasil |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
2-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
Vitoria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 28/05 | ABC Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-2 | 4-3 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | ABC Brazil Copa Nordeste |
2-2 | 6-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Flamengo Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Remo vs Vitoria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Remo win (44%). Probabilities: Remo 44%, draw 28%, Vitoria 29%.
How many goals are expected in Remo vs Vitoria?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Remo 1.59 · Vitoria 1.25), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Remo vs Vitoria?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.