Prediction: Fluminense vs Bragantino
| Fluminense | Draw | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 27% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bragantino (rating 1519 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Fluminense: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fluminense | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 1.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fluminense 3–1–2 Bragantino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Fluminense |
| 06/04/25 Brazil Serie A | Fluminense | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bragantino |
| 28/07/24 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Fluminense |
| 14/04/24 Brazil Serie A | Fluminense | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Bragantino |
| 22/10/23 Brazil Serie A | Bragantino | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fluminense |
| 04/06/23 Brazil Serie A | Fluminense | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Bragantino |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 31 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Atletico Mineiro | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 22 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 29 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 20 |
| 18 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 9 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fluminense | Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Vitoria | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Internacional | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bragantino (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fluminense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Nova Iguacu America Friendlies |
2-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 01/06 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Bolivar Copa Libertadores |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | Operario PR Copa do Brasil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 07/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
Bragantino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | Carabobo Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | River Plate Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Mirassol Copa do Brasil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Blooming Copa Sudamericana |
3-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | River Plate Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fluminense vs Bragantino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fluminense win (54%). Probabilities: Fluminense 54%, draw 26%, Bragantino 20%.
How many goals are expected in Fluminense vs Bragantino?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Fluminense 1.81 · Bragantino 1.03), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Bragantino?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.