Football · Copa do Brasil · 05/08, 00:30

Prediction: EC Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro

Team pages: EC Juventude · Atletico Mineiro

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
EC Juventude0.94
Atletico Mineiro1.17
1X2
28% 31% 40%
EC Juventude Draw Atletico Mineiro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
EC Juventude 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWDWWLWD
Atletico Mineiro 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLWWLWWDWD
Head-to-head
EC Juventude 1–3–2 Atletico Mineiro (6 last)
  • Atletico Mineiro0-0EC Juventude
  • Atletico Mineiro0-0EC Juventude
  • EC Juventude0-1Atletico Mineiro
  • Atletico Mineiro2-3EC Juventude
  • EC Juventude1-1Atletico Mineiro
  • Atletico Mineiro1-0EC Juventude
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EC Juventude 1568 · Atletico Mineiro 1541
EC JuventudeDrawAtletico Mineiro
Our model28%32%40%
Market29%30%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Atletico Mineiro: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EC JuventudeAtletico Mineiro
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.61.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.42.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.23.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Juventude 132 Atletico Mineiro

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/08/26
Copa do Brasil
Atletico Mineiro0-0
HT 0-0
EC Juventude
01/10/25
Brazil Serie A
Atletico Mineiro0-0
HT 0-0
EC Juventude
06/05/25
Brazil Serie A
EC Juventude0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Mineiro
27/11/24
Brazil Serie A
Atletico Mineiro2-3
HT 0-1
EC Juventude
17/07/24
Brazil Serie A
EC Juventude1-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Mineiro
28/10/22
Brazil Serie A
Atletico Mineiro1-0
HT 1-0
EC Juventude

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EC Juventude

LWWWDWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Atletico Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
0-0 0-0 13 D
29/07 Avai
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 33 W
24/07 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-2 2-4 94 L
18/07 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-0 35 W
11/07 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-0 55 W
06/07 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 25 D
28/06 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
2-0 2-0 61 W
21/06 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 47 W
14/06 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
2-0 3-0 74 W
06/06 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-2 47 L

Atletico Mineiro

DLWWLWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 EC Juventude
Copa do Brasil
0-0 0-0 73 D
27/07 Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A
0-0 2-1 53 W
22/07 EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-1 62 D
31/05 Vasco da Gama
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-0 42 W
28/05 Academia Puerto Cabello
Copa Sudamericana
0-0 1-0 66 W
24/05 Corinthians
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-1 03 L
22/05 Cienciano
Copa Sudamericana
2-0 2-0 86 W
16/05 Mirassol
Brazil Serie A
1-1 3-1 51 W
14/05 Ceara
Copa do Brasil
0-2 1-2 34 L
10/05 Botafogo
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-1 62 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Mineiro win (40%). Probabilities: EC Juventude 28%, draw 31%, Atletico Mineiro 40%.

How many goals are expected in EC Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro?

The model expects 2.11 goals (EC Juventude 0.94 · Atletico Mineiro 1.17), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.