Football · Copa do Brasil · 07/08, 01:00

Prediction: Corinthians vs Internacional

Team pages: Corinthians · Internacional

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Corinthians1.58
Internacional0.93
1X2
51% 28% 21%
Corinthians Draw Internacional
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Corinthians 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDWLWDWDDL
Internacional 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWWLLLLDW
Head-to-head
Corinthians 1–2–3 Internacional (6 last)
  • Internacional2-0Corinthians
  • Corinthians0-1Internacional
  • Internacional1-1Corinthians
  • Corinthians4-2Internacional
  • Corinthians2-2Internacional
  • Internacional1-0Corinthians
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corinthians 1493 · Internacional 1492
CorinthiansDrawInternacional
Our model51%28%21%
Market51%28%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Internacional: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CorinthiansInternacional
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.22.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.13.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians 123 Internacional

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/08/26
Copa do Brasil
Internacional2-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
06/04/26
Brazil Serie A
Corinthians0-1
HT 0-0
Internacional
02/10/25
Brazil Serie A
Internacional1-1
HT 0-1
Corinthians
03/05/25
Brazil Serie A
Corinthians4-2
HT 1-2
Internacional
06/10/24
Brazil Serie A
Corinthians2-2
HT 1-1
Internacional
20/06/24
Brazil Serie A
Internacional1-0
HT 1-0
Corinthians

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corinthians

LDWLWDWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Internacional
Copa do Brasil
0-0 0-2 58 L
31/07 Athletico Paranaense
Brazil Serie A
0-0 0-0 67 D
26/07 EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A
1-1 1-1 27 D
24/07 Remo
Brazil Serie A
3-0 3-0 32 W
12/07 FC Cascavel
America Friendlies
0-0 1-1 33 D
30/05 Gremio
Brazil Serie A
1-1 3-1 86 W
28/05 Platense
Copa Libertadores
0-1 0-2 54 L
24/05 Atletico Mineiro
Brazil Serie A
0-0 1-0 33 W
22/05 Penarol
Copa Libertadores
0-1 1-1 50 D
17/05 Botafogo
Brazil Serie A
1-2 1-3 27 L

Internacional

WDWWLLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Corinthians
Copa do Brasil
0-0 2-0 48 W
30/07 Flamengo
Brazil Serie A
1-0 1-1 23 D
25/07 Athletico Paranaense
Brazil Serie A
0-1 0-2 70 L
23/07 Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie A
0-1 1-2 58 L
31/05 Bragantino
Brazil Serie A
0-2 1-3 16 L
23/05 Vitoria
Brazil Serie A
0-1 0-2 65 L
16/05 Vasco da Gama
Brazil Serie A
2-0 4-1 35 W
13/05 Athletic Club MG
Copa do Brasil
2-1 3-2 32 W
09/05 Coritiba
Brazil Serie A
0-1 2-2 84 D
07/05 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Recopa Gaucha
0-0 2-1 151 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corinthians vs Internacional?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Corinthians win (51%). Probabilities: Corinthians 51%, draw 28%, Internacional 21%.

How many goals are expected in Corinthians vs Internacional?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Corinthians 1.58 · Internacional 0.93), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Corinthians vs Internacional?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.