Prediction: Fortaleza vs Palmeiras
Team pages: Fortaleza · Palmeiras
- Palmeiras3-0Fortaleza
- Palmeiras4-1Fortaleza
- Fortaleza1-2Palmeiras
- Palmeiras2-2Fortaleza
- Fortaleza3-0Palmeiras
- Fortaleza2-2Palmeiras
| Fortaleza | Draw | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 28% | 52% |
| Market | 21% | 26% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palmeiras (rating 1477 vs 1601).
- H2H favours Palmeiras: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 2.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.2 | 2.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza 1–2–3 Palmeiras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 Copa do Brasil | Palmeiras | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Fortaleza |
| 21/09/25 Brazil Serie A | Palmeiras | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| 20/04/25 Brazil Serie A | Fortaleza | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Palmeiras |
| 26/10/24 Brazil Serie A | Palmeiras | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Fortaleza |
| 27/06/24 Brazil Serie A | Fortaleza | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Palmeiras |
| 26/11/23 Brazil Serie A | Fortaleza | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Palmeiras |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Palmeiras Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 03/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Palmeiras
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Fortaleza Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/07 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Junior Copa Libertadores |
3-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 21/05 | Cerro Porteno Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 14/05 | Jacuipense Copa do Brasil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Palmeiras win (53%). Probabilities: Fortaleza 20%, draw 27%, Palmeiras 53%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Fortaleza 0.83 · Palmeiras 1.51), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza vs Palmeiras?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.