Prediction: Athletico Paranaense vs Vitoria
Team pages: Athletico Paranaense · Vitoria
- Athletico Paranaense3-1Vitoria
- Athletico Paranaense1-2Vitoria
- Vitoria0-1Athletico Paranaense
- Vitoria1-2Athletico Paranaense
- Athletico Paranaense4-0Vitoria
- Vitoria2-3Athletico Paranaense
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 24% | 13% |
| Market | 63% | 24% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Athletico Paranaense: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Athletico Paranaense | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Athletico Paranaense 5–0–1 Vitoria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Brazil Serie A | Athletico Paranaense | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Vitoria |
| 02/11/24 Brazil Serie A | Athletico Paranaense | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Vitoria |
| 30/06/24 Brazil Serie A | Vitoria | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Athletico Paranaense |
| 17/11/18 Brazil Serie A | Vitoria | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Athletico Paranaense |
| 29/07/18 Brazil Serie A | Athletico Paranaense | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Vitoria |
| 20/10/17 Brazil Serie A | Vitoria | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Athletico Paranaense |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Athletico Paranaense | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Remo | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Vasco da Gama | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Athletico Paranaense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 23/07 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Bragantino America Friendlies |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/07 | Boca Juniors America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Atletico GO Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/05 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Vitoria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 24/07 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 28/05 | ABC Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-2 | 4-3 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | ABC Brazil Copa Nordeste |
2-2 | 6-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Athletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Athletico Paranaense win (62%). Probabilities: Athletico Paranaense 62%, draw 24%, Vitoria 13%.
How many goals are expected in Athletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Athletico Paranaense 1.81 · Vitoria 0.72), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Athletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.