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Football · Copa do Brasil · 02/08, 00:30

Prediction: Atletico Mineiro vs EC Juventude

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Atletico Mineiro1.62
EC Juventude0.51
1X2
65% 24% 11%
Atletico Mineiro Draw EC Juventude
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Mineiro 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDDLWWLWWD
EC Juventude 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWDWWL
Head-to-head
Atletico Mineiro 3–2–1 EC Juventude (6 last)
  • Atletico Mineiro0-0EC Juventude
  • EC Juventude0-1Atletico Mineiro
  • Atletico Mineiro2-3EC Juventude
  • EC Juventude1-1Atletico Mineiro
  • Atletico Mineiro1-0EC Juventude
  • EC Juventude1-2Atletico Mineiro
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Mineiro 1524 · EC Juventude 1538
Atletico MineiroDrawEC Juventude
Our model64%26%10%
Market66%22%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Atletico Mineiro: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico MineiroEC Juventude
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.91.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.42.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.44.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Mineiro 3–2–1 EC Juventude

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/10/25
Brazil Serie A
Atletico Mineiro0-0
HT 0-0
EC Juventude
06/05/25
Brazil Serie A
EC Juventude0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Mineiro
27/11/24
Brazil Serie A
Atletico Mineiro2-3
HT 0-1
EC Juventude
17/07/24
Brazil Serie A
EC Juventude1-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Mineiro
28/10/22
Brazil Serie A
Atletico Mineiro1-0
HT 1-0
EC Juventude
02/07/22
Brazil Serie A
EC Juventude1-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Mineiro

WDDLWWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 EC Bahia
Brazil Serie A
 1-0 1-1 62 D
31/05 Vasco da Gama
Brazil Serie A
 1-0 1-0 42 W
28/05 Academia Puerto Cabello
Copa Sudamericana
 0-0 1-0 66 W
24/05 Corinthians
Brazil Serie A
 0-0 0-1 03 L
22/05 Cienciano
Copa Sudamericana
 2-0 2-0 86 W
16/05 Mirassol
Brazil Serie A
 1-1 3-1 51 W
14/05 Ceara
Copa do Brasil
 0-2 1-2 34 L
10/05 Botafogo
Brazil Serie A
 1-0 1-1 62 D
06/05 Juventud De Las Piedras
Copa Sudamericana
 1-0 2-2 51 D
03/05 Cruzeiro
Brazil Serie A
 2-0 3-1 112 W

EC Juventude

LWLWWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
 0-2 2-4 94 L
18/07 Cuiaba
Brazil Serie B
 1-0 2-0 35 W
11/07 Vila Nova
Brazil Serie B
 1-0 1-0 55 W
06/07 Nautico
Brazil Serie B
 0-0 0-0 25 D
28/06 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
 2-0 2-0 61 W
21/06 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
 0-0 1-0 47 W
14/06 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
 2-0 3-0 74 W
06/06 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
 0-1 1-2 47 L
30/05 America MG
Brazil Serie B
 1-0 3-0 52 W
24/05 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
 0-0 0-1 95 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Mineiro vs EC Juventude?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Mineiro win (65%). Probabilities: Atletico Mineiro 65%, draw 24%, EC Juventude 11%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Mineiro vs EC Juventude?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Atletico Mineiro 1.62 · EC Juventude 0.51), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Mineiro vs EC Juventude?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.