Prediction: Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro2-1Chapecoense
- Cruzeiro1-1Chapecoense
- Chapecoense0-2Cruzeiro
- Chapecoense0-1Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro0-1Chapecoense
- Chapecoense1-1Cruzeiro
| Chapecoense | Draw | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 30% | 47% |
| Market | 24% | 28% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruzeiro (rating 1490 vs 1535).
- H2H favours Cruzeiro: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chapecoense | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.5 | 3.2 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chapecoense 1–2–3 Cruzeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chapecoense |
| 13/08/22 Brazil Serie B | Cruzeiro | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chapecoense |
| 01/05/22 Brazil Serie B | Chapecoense | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cruzeiro |
| 25/11/20 Brazil Serie B | Chapecoense | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cruzeiro |
| 21/08/20 Brazil Serie B | Cruzeiro | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chapecoense |
| 14/10/19 Brazil Serie A | Chapecoense | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cruzeiro |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chapecoense | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Palmeiras | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chapecoense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 23/07 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Gremio America Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Avai Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | Avai Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Cruzeiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 23/07 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/07 | Gremio Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Defensor Sporting America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/06 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Boca Juniors Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | Goias Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cruzeiro win (48%). Probabilities: Chapecoense 23%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 48%.
How many goals are expected in Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Chapecoense 0.89 · Cruzeiro 1.39), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.