Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 04/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn U21 vs FC Flora Tallinn II

Team pages: FC Levadia Tallinn U21 · FC Flora Tallinn II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.85Total

FC Levadia Tallinn U211.84

FC Flora Tallinn II2.01

1X2

36% 22% 42%

FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Draw FC Flora Tallinn II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Levadia Tallinn U21 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Flora Tallinn II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1–5 FC Flora Tallinn II (6 last)

FC Flora Tallinn II0-4FC Levadia Tallinn U21
FC Levadia Tallinn U211-3FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Flora Tallinn II5-0FC Levadia Tallinn U21
FC Levadia Tallinn U211-2FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Levadia Tallinn U210-2FC Flora Tallinn II
FC Flora Tallinn II2-0FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1514 · FC Flora Tallinn II 1533

	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	Draw	FC Flora Tallinn II
Our model	35%	23%	42%
Market	36%	21%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Flora Tallinn II: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	FC Flora Tallinn II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.9	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.2	3.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X4.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50
X	4.33 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	1.91 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:18 +4’	2.80	4.33	1.91
02:47 +35’	2.50▼	4.20▼	2.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1–0–5 FC Flora Tallinn II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	0-4 HT 0-2	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
05/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	1-3 HT 1-2	FC Flora Tallinn II
22/09/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	5-0 HT 2-0	FC Levadia Tallinn U21
18/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Flora Tallinn II
08/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Flora Tallinn II
02/03/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Flora Tallinn II	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Levadia Tallinn U21

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	26	17	3	6	75	38	54
2	Viimsi JK	26	14	5	7	50	26	47
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	26	13	5	8	62	42	44
4	FC Elva	26	12	5	9	43	37	41
5	Maardu Linnameeskond	26	11	5	10	43	54	38
6	JK Tallinna Kalev	26	10	5	11	48	50	35
7	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	26	11	1	14	49	52	34
8	JK Nomme United II	26	7	6	13	43	57	27
9	FC Tallinn	26	6	7	13	31	56	25
10	JK Nomme Kalju II	26	6	4	16	35	67	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	FC Flora Tallinn II
Maardu Linnameeskond	2-4 L	1-3 L
FC Tallinn	2-1 W	0-1 L
Tartu JK Welco	2-4 L	1-2 L
Viimsi JK	0-5 L	2-1 W
JK Nomme United II	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Elva	2-2 D	0-0 D
JK Nomme Kalju II	2-0 W	3-0 W
JK Tallinna Kalev	3-2 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Flora Tallinn II (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Levadia Tallinn U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-4	5	3	L
23/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
20/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-4	6	2	L
15/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	0-5	4	9	L
08/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
01/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-2	7	3	D
18/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
11/07	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-2	8	6	W
05/07	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
21/06	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	4-0	3	3	W

FC Flora Tallinn II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	5-0	11	3	W
24/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
21/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-1	2	9	W
15/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
10/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
01/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
25/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-0	6	4	W
18/07	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-3	7	4	L
12/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-1	10	1	D
09/07	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	1-2	2-3	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Levadia Tallinn U21 vs FC Flora Tallinn II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Flora Tallinn II win (42%). Probabilities: FC Levadia Tallinn U21 36%, draw 22%, FC Flora Tallinn II 42%.

How many goals are expected in FC Levadia Tallinn U21 vs FC Flora Tallinn II?

The model expects 3.85 goals (FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1.84 · FC Flora Tallinn II 2.01), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Levadia Tallinn U21 vs FC Flora Tallinn II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.