Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 10/09, 18:00

Prediction: Viimsi JK vs FC Elva

Team pages: Viimsi JK · FC Elva

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Viimsi JK1.67

FC Elva1

1X2

54% 23% 23%

Viimsi JK Draw FC Elva

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Viimsi JK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWLWWL

FC Elva 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDWLWDWW

Head-to-head

Viimsi JK 3–1–2 FC Elva (6 last)

Viimsi JK3-1FC Elva
FC Elva0-1Viimsi JK
FC Elva1-0Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK1-1FC Elva
FC Elva0-3Viimsi JK
FC Elva1-0Viimsi JK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viimsi JK 1563 · FC Elva 1530

	Viimsi JK	Draw	FC Elva
Our model	52%	27%	21%
Market	55%	20%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Viimsi JK: 3-1-2.
High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viimsi JK	FC Elva
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.2	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7.7	3.1 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.50

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:06 +1’	1.61	4.50	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viimsi JK 3–1–2 FC Elva

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/07/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	3-1 HT 2-0	FC Elva
18/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	0-1 HT 0-1	Viimsi JK
03/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	1-0 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK
22/09/25 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Elva
19/07/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	0-3 HT 0-1	Viimsi JK
19/06/25 Estonia Esiliiga	FC Elva	1-0 HT 1-0	Viimsi JK

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	27	17	4	6	76	39	55
2	Viimsi JK	27	14	5	8	51	28	47
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	27	13	5	9	64	48	44
4	FC Elva	27	13	5	9	44	37	44
5	Maardu Linnameeskond	27	12	5	10	45	55	41
6	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	27	12	1	14	55	54	37
7	JK Tallinna Kalev	27	10	6	11	49	51	36
8	FC Tallinn	27	7	7	13	33	57	28
9	JK Nomme United II	27	7	6	14	44	59	27
10	JK Nomme Kalju II	27	6	4	17	35	68	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viimsi JK	FC Elva
Tartu JK Welco	3-1 W	2-1 W
JK Nomme United II	4-1 W	1-0 W
FC Flora Tallinn II	1-2 L	0-0 D
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	5-0 W	2-2 D
Maardu Linnameeskond	2-1 W	1-0 W
JK Tallinna Kalev	1-2 L	0-1 L
JK Nomme Kalju II	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Viimsi JK (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viimsi JK

DWWLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-2	7	6	L
29/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-1	3	5	W
24/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	4-1	10	5	W
21/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-2	8	9	L
15/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-0	4	9	W
08/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
03/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
27/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-0	7	7	W
16/07	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
11/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	2-2	2-2	23	1	D

FC Elva

LDLDWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
30/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
24/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
20/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-0	4	9	W
15/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	12	5	L
08/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
01/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-2	7	3	D
16/07	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	11	5	L
05/07	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
22/06	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viimsi JK vs FC Elva?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viimsi JK win (54%). Probabilities: Viimsi JK 54%, draw 23%, FC Elva 23%.

How many goals are expected in Viimsi JK vs FC Elva?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Viimsi JK 1.67 · FC Elva 1), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Viimsi JK vs FC Elva?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.