Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 13/09, 11:30

Prediction: JK Nomme United II vs Viimsi JK

Team pages: JK Nomme United II · Viimsi JK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

JK Nomme United II1.48

Viimsi JK2.14

1X2

26% 22% 52%

JK Nomme United II Draw Viimsi JK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

JK Nomme United II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDLLLW

Viimsi JK 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWLW

Head-to-head

JK Nomme United II 1–2 Viimsi JK (3 last)

Viimsi JK4-1JK Nomme United II
JK Nomme United II0-3Viimsi JK
Viimsi JK1-3JK Nomme United II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Nomme United II 1465 · Viimsi JK 1560

	JK Nomme United II	Draw	Viimsi JK
Our model	26%	22%	52%
Market	26%	21%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viimsi JK (rating 1465 vs 1560).
H2H favours Viimsi JK: 2-0-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Nomme United II	Viimsi JK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	2.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.9	2.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.33

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:24 +9’	3.40	4.33	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme United II 1–0–2 Viimsi JK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	4-1 HT 0-0	JK Nomme United II
27/07/26 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Nomme United II	0-3 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK
12/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga	Viimsi JK	1-3 HT 1-1	JK Nomme United II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tartu JK Welco	28	17	5	6	76	39	56
2	Viimsi JK	28	15	5	8	56	28	50
3	FC Flora Tallinn II	28	14	5	9	69	49	47
4	FC Elva	28	13	5	10	44	42	44
5	Maardu Linnameeskond	27	12	5	10	45	55	41
6	FC Levadia Tallinn U21	28	12	2	14	55	54	38
7	JK Tallinna Kalev	28	10	6	12	50	53	36
8	JK Nomme United II	28	8	6	14	46	60	30
9	FC Tallinn	27	7	7	13	33	57	28
10	JK Nomme Kalju II	28	6	4	18	36	73	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Nomme United II	Viimsi JK
JK Tallinna Kalev	2-1 W	1-2 L
Maardu Linnameeskond	1-2 L	2-1 W
FC Elva	0-1 L	5-0 W
FC Tallinn	1-1 D	1-2 L
FC Levadia Tallinn U21	1-2 L	5-0 W
Tartu JK Welco	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Viimsi JK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Nomme United II

LLWLWDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
06/09	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-2	4	6	L
30/08	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	0-1	16	9	L
24/08	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-4	3	5	L
20/08	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
17/08	JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
08/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
01/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
27/07	Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	0-3	1	7	L
18/07	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	0-2	1-3	3	4	L

Viimsi JK

WWLWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	3-0	5-0	6	4	W
03/09	FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga	1-0	1-2	7	6	L
29/08	Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-1	3	5	W
24/08	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	4-1	10	5	W
21/08	FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	1-2	8	9	L
15/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	5-0	4	9	W
08/08	Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
03/08	JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga	1-1	1-2	7	8	L
27/07	JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga	0-0	3-0	7	7	W
16/07	FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga	2-0	3-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Nomme United II vs Viimsi JK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Viimsi JK win (52%). Probabilities: JK Nomme United II 26%, draw 22%, Viimsi JK 52%.

How many goals are expected in JK Nomme United II vs Viimsi JK?

The model expects 3.62 goals (JK Nomme United II 1.48 · Viimsi JK 2.14), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Nomme United II vs Viimsi JK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.