Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 18/07, 18:00
Prediction: FC Flora Tallinn II vs Maardu Linnameeskond
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.13Total
FC Flora Tallinn II2.44
Maardu Linnameeskond1.69
1X2
FC Flora Tallinn II
Draw
Maardu Linnameeskond
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Flora Tallinn II
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Maardu Linnameeskond
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Flora Tallinn II
3–3
Maardu Linnameeskond
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Flora Tallinn II 1504 · Maardu Linnameeskond 1504
| FC Flora Tallinn II | Draw | Maardu Linnameeskond | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.13 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Flora Tallinn II | Maardu Linnameeskond | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.8 | 2.9 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Flora Tallinn II 3–0–3 Maardu Linnameeskond
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 Estonia Esiliiga | Maardu Linnameeskond | 3-2 HT 2-1 | FC Flora Tallinn II |
| 01/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Flora Tallinn II | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Maardu Linnameeskond |
| 15/09/21 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Flora Tallinn II | 1-8 HT 1-5 | Maardu Linnameeskond |
| 20/08/21 Estonia Esiliiga | Maardu Linnameeskond | 1-3 HT 1-1 | FC Flora Tallinn II |
| 21/05/21 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Flora Tallinn II | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Maardu Linnameeskond |
| 21/11/20 Estonia Esiliiga | Maardu Linnameeskond | 3-5 HT 1-1 | FC Flora Tallinn II |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 62 | 24 | 45 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn II | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 35 | 31 |
| 4 | FC Elva | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 32 | 27 |
| 5 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 35 | 24 |
| 6 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 46 | 23 |
| 7 | JK Tallinna Kalev | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 39 | 22 |
| 8 | JK Nomme United II | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 42 | 20 |
| 9 | JK Nomme Kalju II | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 44 | 19 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 49 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Flora Tallinn II | Maardu Linnameeskond |
|---|---|---|
| JK Nomme United II | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 0-4 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Elva | 3-0 W | 3-4 L |
| FC Tallinn | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| JK Tallinna Kalev | 3-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Tartu JK Welco | 3-3 D | 1-8 L |
| Viimsi JK | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Flora Tallinn II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Flora Tallinn II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 09/07 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/06 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/06 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
Maardu Linnameeskond
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
1-4 | 1-8 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/06 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/06 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 11/06 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
3-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Flora Tallinn II vs Maardu Linnameeskond?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Flora Tallinn II win (54%). Probabilities: FC Flora Tallinn II 54%, draw 21%, Maardu Linnameeskond 26%.
How many goals are expected in FC Flora Tallinn II vs Maardu Linnameeskond?
The model expects 4.13 goals (FC Flora Tallinn II 2.44 · Maardu Linnameeskond 1.69), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Flora Tallinn II vs Maardu Linnameeskond?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.