Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 18/07, 18:00
Prediction: JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
JK Nomme Kalju II1.75
FC Levadia Tallinn U212.1
1X2
JK Nomme Kalju II
Draw
FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
JK Nomme Kalju II
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
FC Levadia Tallinn U21
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JK Nomme Kalju II
2–2–2
FC Levadia Tallinn U21
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JK Nomme Kalju II 1474 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 1516
| JK Nomme Kalju II | Draw | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 22% | 45% |
| Market | 33% | 21% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.85 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Levadia Tallinn U21 (rating 1474 vs 1516).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Nomme Kalju II | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.2 | 2.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4 | 3.3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Nomme Kalju II 2–2–2 FC Levadia Tallinn U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
| 07/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
| 20/10/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
| 15/09/25 Estonia Esiliiga | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 3-3 HT 1-2 | JK Nomme Kalju II |
| 30/06/25 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 3-2 HT 3-1 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
| 28/04/25 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Nomme Kalju II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 62 | 24 | 45 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | FC Flora Tallinn II | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 35 | 31 |
| 4 | FC Elva | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 32 | 27 |
| 5 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 35 | 24 |
| 6 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 46 | 23 |
| 7 | JK Tallinna Kalev | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 39 | 22 |
| 8 | JK Nomme United II | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 42 | 20 |
| 9 | JK Nomme Kalju II | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 44 | 19 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 49 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Nomme Kalju II | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Viimsi JK | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Elva | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| JK Tallinna Kalev | 1-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Maardu Linnameeskond | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| JK Nomme United II | 4-1 W | 4-2 W |
| FC Tallinn | 1-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Tartu JK Welco | 2-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: JK Nomme Kalju II (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Nomme Kalju II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 05/07 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/06 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/06 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 28/05 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
2-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
FC Levadia Tallinn U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 05/07 | FC Flora Tallinn II Estonia Esiliiga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Tallinn Estonia Esiliiga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | Tartu JK Welco Estonia Esiliiga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | JK Tallinna Kalev Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Elva Estonia Esiliiga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | JK Nomme United II Estonia Esiliiga |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Maardu Linnameeskond Estonia Esiliiga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | JK Nomme Kalju II Estonia Esiliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Viimsi JK Estonia Esiliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Levadia Tallinn U21 win (46%). Probabilities: JK Nomme Kalju II 32%, draw 22%, FC Levadia Tallinn U21 46%.
How many goals are expected in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?
The model expects 3.85 goals (JK Nomme Kalju II 1.75 · FC Levadia Tallinn U21 2.1), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Nomme Kalju II vs FC Levadia Tallinn U21?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.