Football · Estonia Esiliiga · 18/07, 18:00

Prediction: JK Tallinna Kalev vs JK Nomme United II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.43Total
JK Tallinna Kalev2.48
JK Nomme United II1.95
1X2
49% 21% 30%
JK Tallinna Kalev Draw JK Nomme United II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
JK Tallinna Kalev 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDLLLLWWDL
JK Nomme United II 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLLDLD
Head-to-head
JK Tallinna Kalev 1–1–0 JK Nomme United II (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Tallinna Kalev 1475 · JK Nomme United II 1438
JK Tallinna KalevDrawJK Nomme United II
Our model49%20%30%
Market49%21%30%
Estimated total (ours) 4.43 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JK Tallinna KalevJK Nomme United II
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 21.7 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.61.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.34 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tallinna Kalev 110 JK Nomme United II

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/06/26
Estonia Esiliiga
JK Nomme United II1-2
HT 1-0
JK Tallinna Kalev
01/05/26
Estonia Esiliiga
JK Tallinna Kalev4-4
HT 2-1
JK Nomme United II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tartu JK Welco 191432 622445
2 Viimsi JK 18954 301632
3 FC Flora Tallinn II 18945 453531
4 FC Elva 19838 343227
5 FC Levadia Tallinn U21 198011 373524
6 Maardu Linnameeskond 19658 274623
7 JK Tallinna Kalev 19649 373922
8 JK Nomme United II 18558 354220
9 JK Nomme Kalju II 18549 304419
10 FC Tallinn 194510 254917

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJK Tallinna KalevJK Nomme United II
FC Levadia Tallinn U21 2-3 L 2-4 L
Maardu Linnameeskond 3-3 D 1-2 L
JK Nomme Kalju II 5-1 W 1-4 L
FC Flora Tallinn II 1-3 L 1-1 D
FC Elva 1-3 L 1-0 W
FC Tallinn 1-1 D 3-4 L
Tartu JK Welco 2-0 W 2-5 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tallinna Kalev (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Tallinna Kalev

WDLLLLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonia Esiliiga
0-2 2-3 76 L
03/07 Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonia Esiliiga
3-1 3-3 45 D
21/06 JK Nomme Kalju II
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 5-1 71 W
18/06 JK Nomme United II
Estonia Esiliiga
0-1 2-1 125 W
14/06 FC Flora Tallinn II
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 1-3 66 L
31/05 FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 1-2 37 L
27/05 Viimsi JK
Estonia Esiliiga
0-1 0-3 65 L
24/05 FC Elva
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 1-3 42 L
14/05 FC Tallinn
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 1-1 55 D
09/05 Tartu JK Welco
Estonia Esiliiga
1-0 2-0 25 W

JK Nomme United II

LDWLLLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 FC Flora Tallinn II
Estonia Esiliiga
0-1 1-1 31 D
04/07 FC Tallinn
Estonia Esiliiga
2-3 3-4 129 L
30/06 FC Flora Tallinn II
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 3-3 26 D
21/06 Tartu JK Welco
Estonia Esiliiga
1-3 2-5 63 L
18/06 JK Tallinna Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga
1-0 1-2 25 L
15/06 JK Nomme Kalju II
Estonia Esiliiga
1-2 1-4 11 L
25/05 FC Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonia Esiliiga
1-1 2-4 25 L
16/05 FC Elva
Estonia Esiliiga
1-0 1-0 44 W
13/05 FC Flora Tallinn II
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 2-2 62 D
09/05 Maardu Linnameeskond
Estonia Esiliiga
0-0 1-2 25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Tallinna Kalev vs JK Nomme United II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Tallinna Kalev win (49%). Probabilities: JK Tallinna Kalev 49%, draw 21%, JK Nomme United II 30%.

How many goals are expected in JK Tallinna Kalev vs JK Nomme United II?

The model expects 4.43 goals (JK Tallinna Kalev 2.48 · JK Nomme United II 1.95), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Tallinna Kalev vs JK Nomme United II?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.