Prediction: JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts
| JFK Ventspils | Draw | JDFS Alberts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JDFS Alberts (rating 1484 vs 1543).
- H2H favours JDFS Alberts: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JFK Ventspils | JDFS Alberts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 2.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 7.7 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JFK Ventspils 0–1–5 JDFS Alberts
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 Latvia 1. Liga | JDFS Alberts | 2-0 HT 1-0 | JFK Ventspils |
| 25/05/25 Latvia 1. Liga | JFK Ventspils | 1-1 HT 0-1 | JDFS Alberts |
| 26/10/24 Latvia 1. Liga | JDFS Alberts | 2-0 HT 0-0 | JFK Ventspils |
| 06/07/24 Latvia 1. Liga | JFK Ventspils | 0-2 HT 0-0 | JDFS Alberts |
| 28/10/23 Latvia 1. Liga | JFK Ventspils | 2-3 HT 0-2 | JDFS Alberts |
| 08/07/23 Latvia 1. Liga | JDFS Alberts | 2-1 HT 2-1 | JFK Ventspils |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 20 |
| 6 | Marupes SC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | SK Super Nova II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Riga FC II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 9 | Skanstes SK | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 13 |
| 10 | JFK Ventspils | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 11 | RFS II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 8 |
| 13 | Rezeknes FA | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 5 |
| 14 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JFK Ventspils | JDFS Alberts |
|---|---|---|
| Skanstes SK | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Rezeknes FA | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Valmiera FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Saldus SS/Leevon | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Metta/LU | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: JDFS Alberts (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JFK Ventspils
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/06 | Upesciema Warriors Latvia Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-3 | 2-4 | 14 | 4 | L |
JDFS Alberts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Iecava Latvia Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
3-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts?
According to our model, the most likely result is an JDFS Alberts win (49%). Probabilities: JFK Ventspils 27%, draw 24%, JDFS Alberts 49%.
How many goals are expected in JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts?
The model expects 3.02 goals (JFK Ventspils 1.25 · JDFS Alberts 1.76), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in JFK Ventspils vs JDFS Alberts?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.