Prediction: Skanstes SK vs Valmiera FC
| Skanstes SK | Draw | Valmiera FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| Market | 15% | 18% | 67% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valmiera FC (rating 1460 vs 1573).
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Skanstes SK | Valmiera FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 6.1 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Skanstes SK 0–0–1 Valmiera FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Latvia Cup | Valmiera FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Skanstes SK |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 20 |
| 6 | Marupes SC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | SK Super Nova II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Riga FC II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 9 | Skanstes SK | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 13 |
| 10 | JFK Ventspils | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 11 | RFS II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 8 |
| 13 | Rezeknes FA | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 5 |
| 14 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Skanstes SK | Valmiera FC |
|---|---|---|
| JFK Ventspils | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Metta/LU | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Smiltene/BJSS | 4-2 W | 4-1 W |
| FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| JDFS Alberts | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| SK Super Nova II | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Valmiera FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Skanstes SK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
Valmiera FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ogre United Latvia Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/06 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Skanstes SK vs Valmiera FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Valmiera FC win (67%). Probabilities: Skanstes SK 14%, draw 19%, Valmiera FC 67%.
How many goals are expected in Skanstes SK vs Valmiera FC?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Skanstes SK 0.98 · Valmiera FC 2.29), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Skanstes SK vs Valmiera FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.