Prediction: Marupes SC vs Metta/LU
| Marupes SC | Draw | Metta/LU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| Market | 16% | 18% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metta/LU (rating 1502 vs 1598).
- High corners: 14.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marupes SC | Metta/LU | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 3.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 4 / 9.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marupes SC 0–0–1 Metta/LU
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/25 Latvia Cup | Marupes SC | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Metta/LU |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 20 |
| 6 | Marupes SC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | SK Super Nova II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Riga FC II | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 9 | Skanstes SK | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 13 |
| 10 | JFK Ventspils | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 11 | RFS II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 8 |
| 13 | Rezeknes FA | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 5 |
| 14 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marupes SC | Metta/LU |
|---|---|---|
| FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| JFK Ventspils | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| SK Super Nova II | 1-0 W | 7-3 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Metta/LU (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marupes SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | SC Grobinas Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/06 | FK Aliance Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Jfc Jelgava Latvia Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
Metta/LU
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | SK Speks Latvia Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Kekava/Auda Latvia Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
5-0 | 7-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | FK Lielupe Latvia Cup |
4-0 | 6-0 | 19 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marupes SC vs Metta/LU?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Metta/LU win (66%). Probabilities: Marupes SC 15%, draw 19%, Metta/LU 66%.
How many goals are expected in Marupes SC vs Metta/LU?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Marupes SC 1.15 · Metta/LU 2.48), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Marupes SC vs Metta/LU?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.