Football · Norway Eliteserien · 25/10, 17:00

Prediction: Kristiansund BK vs KFUM

Team pages: Kristiansund BK · KFUM

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Kristiansund BK1.57

KFUM1.41

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Kristiansund BK Draw KFUM

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kristiansund BK 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWLLLL

KFUM 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLWWWD

Head-to-head

Kristiansund BK 1–2–3 KFUM (6 last)

KFUM2-1Kristiansund BK
KFUM1-1Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK0-5KFUM
KFUM1-2Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK1-1KFUM
Kristiansund BK0-2KFUM

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristiansund BK 1472 · KFUM 1554

	Kristiansund BK	Draw	KFUM
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KFUM (rating 1472 vs 1554).
H2H favours KFUM: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristiansund BK	KFUM
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.6	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.8	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.30▼	Pinn 2.39
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.80▲	Pinn 2.97 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:18 +4’	2.38	3.50	2.63
17:15 +8’	2.25▼	3.50	2.80▲
15:33 +4’	2.30▲	3.60▲	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:28 +234’	2.34	3.45	3.01
17:07 +16’	2.36▲	3.40▼	3.03▲
22:12 +11’	2.39▲	3.41▲	2.97▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristiansund BK 1–2–3 KFUM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	2-1 HT 2-0	Kristiansund BK
19/10/25 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	1-1 HT 0-1	Kristiansund BK
26/07/25 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	0-5 HT 0-2	KFUM
23/11/24 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	1-2 HT 0-1	Kristiansund BK
07/04/24 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	1-1 HT 1-1	KFUM
30/09/23 Norway Division 1	Kristiansund BK	0-2 HT 0-1	KFUM

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	23	18	2	3	58	20	56
2	Viking FK	23	18	2	3	59	22	56
3	Molde	23	12	4	7	52	35	40
4	Tromso	23	11	7	5	42	31	40
5	Rosenborg	23	11	4	8	43	31	37
6	Lillestrom	23	11	3	9	32	31	36
7	SK Brann	23	9	2	12	40	37	29
8	Fredrikstad	23	8	5	10	28	36	29
9	KFUM	23	8	5	10	28	37	29
10	Sarpsborg	23	7	7	9	28	34	28
11	Valerenga	23	7	5	11	38	46	26
12	Ham-Kam	23	7	5	11	33	48	26
13	Sandefjord	23	6	6	11	22	30	24
14	Aalesund	23	5	9	9	39	51	24
15	Kristiansund BK	23	5	4	14	23	47	19
16	IK Start	23	4	4	15	25	54	16

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristiansund BK	KFUM
Aalesund	1-4 L	2-1 W
Tromso	2-0 W	1-1 D
Molde	2-1 W	0-2 L
IK Start	1-2 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kristiansund BK (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristiansund BK

LLWLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
10/10	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-3	0	2	L
19/09	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
13/09	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	1-5	1-8	5	1	L
06/09	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
30/08	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
16/08	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	10	4	L
09/08	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
02/08	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	3	1	L
25/07	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-2	3	6	L

KFUM

LWWDLLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/10	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
18/09	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	2-1	3-1	1	3	W
13/09	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
06/09	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
30/08	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-2	1-4	7	8	L
15/08	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
07/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
02/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
26/07	Molde Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-4	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristiansund BK vs KFUM?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kristiansund BK win (41%). Probabilities: Kristiansund BK 41%, draw 26%, KFUM 33%.

How many goals are expected in Kristiansund BK vs KFUM?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Kristiansund BK 1.57 · KFUM 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristiansund BK vs KFUM?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.