Football · Norway Eliteserien · 31/10, 18:00

Prediction: Aalesund vs Sandefjord

Team pages: Aalesund · Sandefjord

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Aalesund1.9

Sandefjord1.51

1X2

46% 24% 30%

Aalesund Draw Sandefjord

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Aalesund 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLWLWLWL

Sandefjord 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLWDLL

Head-to-head

Aalesund 1–1–4 Sandefjord (6 last)

Sandefjord1-0Aalesund
Aalesund0-3Sandefjord
Sandefjord4-0Aalesund
Aalesund1-2Sandefjord
Aalesund1-0Sandefjord
Sandefjord2-2Aalesund

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sandefjord: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aalesund	Sandefjord
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.4	0.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.3	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.89

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:51

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.95
X	3.95 → 3.95	Pinn 3.95
2	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:19 +32’	1.95	3.95	3.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aalesund 1–1–4 Sandefjord

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	1-0 HT 0-0	Aalesund
06/11/23 Norway Eliteserien	Aalesund	0-3 HT 0-0	Sandefjord
30/04/23 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	4-0 HT 2-0	Aalesund
13/02/23 Europe Friendlies	Aalesund	1-2 HT 0-0	Sandefjord
23/10/22 Norway Eliteserien	Aalesund	1-0 HT 0-0	Sandefjord
12/07/22 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	2-2 HT 1-1	Aalesund

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Viking FK	24	19	2	3	62	23	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	18	2	4	58	21	56
3	Molde	23	12	4	7	52	35	40
4	Rosenborg	24	12	4	8	46	31	40
5	Tromso	24	11	7	6	43	34	40
6	Lillestrom	24	12	3	9	35	33	39
7	Sarpsborg	24	8	7	9	30	35	31
8	KFUM	24	8	6	10	30	39	30
9	SK Brann	24	9	2	13	42	40	29
10	Valerenga	24	8	5	11	39	46	29
11	Fredrikstad	23	8	5	10	28	36	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	7	5	12	33	51	26
13	Sandefjord	24	6	6	12	22	31	24
14	Aalesund	24	5	9	10	40	53	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	5	5	14	25	49	20
16	IK Start	24	5	4	15	26	54	19

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aalesund	Sandefjord
Sarpsborg	1-2 L	2-1 W
KFUM	1-2 L	0-1 L
IK Start	2-0 W	0-1 L
Viking FK	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sandefjord (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aalesund

LDDLWLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
17/10	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	1-1	4-1	8	4	W
11/10	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-4	8	3	L
19/09	Molde Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
13/09	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	1-2	1-2	4	6	L
04/09	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
30/08	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
16/08	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	4-2	5-5	10	1	D
09/08	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-6	9	1	L

Sandefjord

LLWDDLWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
18/10	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
10/10	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
20/09	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
14/09	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-3	2	3	L
04/09	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
30/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
16/08	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
07/08	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
01/08	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-1	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aalesund vs Sandefjord?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aalesund win (46%). Probabilities: Aalesund 46%, draw 24%, Sandefjord 30%.

How many goals are expected in Aalesund vs Sandefjord?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Aalesund 1.9 · Sandefjord 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Aalesund vs Sandefjord?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.