Football · Norway Eliteserien · 01/11, 19:15
Prediction: Valerenga vs Tromso
Team pages: Valerenga · Tromso
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
Valerenga2.12
Tromso1.74
1X2
Valerenga
Draw
Tromso
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Valerenga
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Tromso
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valerenga
1–2–3
Tromso
(6 last)
- Tromso4-0Valerenga
- Valerenga1-0Tromso
- Tromso2-1Valerenga
- Valerenga1-4Tromso
- Valerenga0-0Tromso
- Valerenga1-1Tromso
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tromso: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valerenga | Tromso | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.2 | 2.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valerenga 1–2–3 Tromso
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Norway Eliteserien | Tromso | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Valerenga |
| 04/10/25 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tromso |
| 31/05/25 Norway Eliteserien | Tromso | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Valerenga |
| 15/03/25 Europe Friendlies | Valerenga | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Tromso |
| 01/05/24 Norway Cup | Valerenga | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tromso |
| 03/12/23 Norway Eliteserien | Valerenga | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Tromso |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking FK | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62 | 23 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 58 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 36 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 40 |
| 5 | Tromso | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 34 | 40 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 35 | 33 | 39 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 31 |
| 8 | KFUM | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 39 | 30 |
| 9 | SK Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 40 | 29 |
| 10 | Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 46 | 29 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 41 | 29 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 51 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 53 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | 20 |
| 16 | IK Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 54 | 19 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valerenga | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| KFUM | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Fredrikstad | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Sarpsborg | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Molde | 3-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Aalesund | 5-5 D | 6-2 W |
| Ham-Kam | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tromso (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valerenga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | SK Brann Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Tromso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Viking FK Norway Eliteserien |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | KFUM Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Molde Norway Eliteserien |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Aalesund Norway Eliteserien |
1-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valerenga vs Tromso?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valerenga win (46%). Probabilities: Valerenga 46%, draw 22%, Tromso 31%.
How many goals are expected in Valerenga vs Tromso?
The model expects 3.87 goals (Valerenga 2.12 · Tromso 1.74), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Valerenga vs Tromso?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.