Football · Norway Eliteserien · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: SK Brann vs Molde

Team pages: SK Brann · Molde

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

SK Brann1.79

Molde2.07

1X2

33% 23% 44%

SK Brann Draw Molde

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Brann 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLWLLL

Molde 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWLDWW

Head-to-head

SK Brann 1–5 Molde (6 last)

Molde1-2SK Brann
Molde4-0SK Brann
SK Brann0-3Molde
Molde2-1SK Brann
SK Brann1-3Molde
Molde1-0SK Brann

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Brann 1537 · Molde 1607

	SK Brann	Draw	Molde
Our model	33%	22%	44%
Market	33%	23%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Molde (rating 1537 vs 1607).
H2H favours Molde: 5-0-1.
High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Brann	Molde
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	3.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 7.9	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 13:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.80▼	Pinn 2.92 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.04
2	2.00 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.18

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 8.3% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:24 +2’	3.00	4.00	2.00
03:13 +8’	2.80▼	4.00	2.15▲
10:18 +1’	2.63▼	3.90▼	2.20▲
13:29 +1’	2.80▲	4.00▲	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:43 +159’	2.96	4.01	2.16
11:58 +29’	3.03▲	4.05▲	2.11▼
20:57 +19’	2.90▼	4.01▼	2.20▲
23:31 +3’	2.93▲	4.01	2.18▼
09:04 +17’	2.93	4.04▲	2.18
19:31 +40’	2.92▼	4.04	2.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Brann 1–0–5 Molde

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Norway Eliteserien	Molde	1-2 HT 0-2	SK Brann
22/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Molde	4-0 HT 0-0	SK Brann
29/05/25 Norway Eliteserien	SK Brann	0-3 HT 0-1	Molde
23/11/24 Norway Eliteserien	Molde	2-1 HT 2-0	SK Brann
26/05/24 Norway Eliteserien	SK Brann	1-3 HT 1-0	Molde
19/03/24 Europe Friendlies	Molde	1-0 HT 1-0	SK Brann

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Viking FK	24	19	2	3	62	23	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	18	2	4	58	21	56
3	Molde	24	13	4	7	57	36	43
4	Rosenborg	24	12	4	8	46	31	40
5	Tromso	24	11	7	6	43	34	40
6	Lillestrom	24	12	3	9	35	33	39
7	Sarpsborg	24	8	7	9	30	35	31
8	KFUM	24	8	6	10	30	39	30
9	SK Brann	24	9	2	13	42	40	29
10	Valerenga	24	8	5	11	39	46	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	8	5	11	29	41	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	7	5	12	33	51	26
13	Sandefjord	24	6	6	12	22	31	24
14	Aalesund	24	5	9	10	40	53	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	5	5	14	25	49	20
16	IK Start	24	5	4	15	26	54	19

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Brann	Molde
Lillestrom	2-3 L	2-2 D
Valerenga	1-3 L	4-3 W
IK Start	0-2 L	6-1 W
Ham-Kam	3-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Molde (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Brann

LWWDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-1	2-3	8	4	L
18/10	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-1	1-3	8	2	L
09/10	Viking FK Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-2	13	3	L
20/09	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
13/09	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
05/09	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	12	2	L
30/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
16/08	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
02/08	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-2	5	5	W
26/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	0-3	2-3	10	5	L

Molde

DLWWWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Fredrikstad Norway Eliteserien	3-1	5-1	5	3	W
18/10	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	2-0	6-1	5	4	W
11/10	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	2-1	2-2	6	4	D
19/09	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-2	1-2	10	4	L
13/09	Ham-Kam Norway Eliteserien	1-0	5-1	2	1	W
06/09	KFUM Norway Eliteserien	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
30/08	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	4-3	4-3	2	5	W
16/08	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-2	3	5	W
09/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-2	12	5	L
02/08	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	1-1	3-3	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Brann vs Molde?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Molde win (44%). Probabilities: SK Brann 33%, draw 23%, Molde 44%.

How many goals are expected in SK Brann vs Molde?

The model expects 3.86 goals (SK Brann 1.79 · Molde 2.07), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Brann vs Molde?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.