Football · Norway Eliteserien · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: KFUM vs Ham-Kam

Team pages: KFUM · Ham-Kam

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

KFUM1.75

Ham-Kam1.25

1X2

48% 26% 26%

KFUM Draw Ham-Kam

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

KFUM 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWWWDD

Ham-Kam 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLDLLLWLL

Head-to-head

KFUM 2–2–2 Ham-Kam (6 last)

Ham-Kam4-0KFUM
KFUM2-2Ham-Kam
KFUM1-0Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam0-0KFUM
Ham-Kam0-2KFUM
Ham-Kam3-2KFUM

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KFUM 1556 · Ham-Kam 1509

	KFUM	Draw	Ham-Kam
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	48%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KFUM (rating 1556 vs 1509).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KFUM	Ham-Kam
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.95▲	Pinn 2.01
X	3.60 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.90 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:21 +7’	1.90	3.60	3.60
18:25 +3’	1.90	3.60	3.70▲
14:39 +4’	1.95▲	3.50▼	3.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:16 +367’	2.01	3.38	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KFUM 2–2–2 Ham-Kam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	4-0 HT 2-0	KFUM
22/08/25 Norway Eliteserien	KFUM	2-2 HT 0-1	Ham-Kam
13/06/25 Europe Friendlies	KFUM	1-0 HT 0-0	Ham-Kam
02/05/25 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	0-0 HT 0-0	KFUM
01/12/24 Norway Eliteserien	Ham-Kam	0-2 HT 0-1	KFUM
21/06/24 Europe Friendlies	Ham-Kam	3-2 HT 3-0	KFUM

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Viking FK	24	19	2	3	62	23	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	18	2	4	58	21	56
3	Molde	24	13	4	7	57	36	43
4	Rosenborg	24	12	4	8	46	31	40
5	Tromso	24	11	7	6	43	34	40
6	Lillestrom	24	12	3	9	35	33	39
7	Sarpsborg	24	8	7	9	30	35	31
8	KFUM	24	8	6	10	30	39	30
9	SK Brann	24	9	2	13	42	40	29
10	Valerenga	24	8	5	11	39	46	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	8	5	11	29	41	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	7	5	12	33	51	26
13	Sandefjord	24	6	6	12	22	31	24
14	Aalesund	24	5	9	10	40	53	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	5	5	14	25	49	20
16	IK Start	24	5	4	15	26	54	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KFUM	Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK	2-2 D	2-2 D
Tromso	1-1 D	2-3 L
Valerenga	2-1 W	3-0 W
Aalesund	2-1 W	1-1 D
Molde	0-2 L	1-5 L
IK Start	1-4 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KFUM (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KFUM

WWDLLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
18/10	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/10	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
18/09	Sarpsborg Norway Eliteserien	2-1	3-1	1	3	W
13/09	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
06/09	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
30/08	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-2	1-4	7	8	L
15/08	Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
07/08	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
02/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	2-0	2-1	3	1	W

Ham-Kam

WDLDLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-0	0-3	4	5	L
17/10	Bodo/Glimt Norway Eliteserien	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
11/10	IK Start Norway Eliteserien	1-1	4-2	4	0	W
20/09	Tromso Norway Eliteserien	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
13/09	Molde Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-5	6	1	L
05/09	Rosenborg Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
30/08	Kristiansund BK Norway Eliteserien	0-0	2-2	9	3	D
16/08	SK Brann Norway Eliteserien	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
09/08	Aalesund Norway Eliteserien	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
31/07	Valerenga Norway Eliteserien	1-0	3-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KFUM vs Ham-Kam?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KFUM win (48%). Probabilities: KFUM 48%, draw 26%, Ham-Kam 26%.

How many goals are expected in KFUM vs Ham-Kam?

The model expects 2.99 goals (KFUM 1.75 · Ham-Kam 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KFUM vs Ham-Kam?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.